Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation
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Statistics from Lichess
377,357 games: White 51.0% / Draw 6.8% / Black 42.2%
| Next move | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| 244,834245K | ||
| 130,220130K | ||
| 2,2272,227 | ||
| 7676 |
Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Nov 9, 2026
Engine evaluation
+0.29 The position is about equal
Best play: 5. Qxd2 d5 6. g3 O-O 7. Bg2 Nbd7 8. O-O b6 9. cxd5 exd5
Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.
By rating
Rating changes little here: Black scores 48% under 1400, 47% at 2200 and up and 42% in master games (wins plus half the draws).
| Players | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1400 | 34K | |
| 1400–1799 | 141K | |
| 1800–2199 | 229K | |
| 2200 and up | 58K | |
| Masters, over the board | 1,400 |
Master games
- Aronian, L. – Carlsen, M.
- Nakamura, H. – Carlsen, M.
- Aronian, L. – Carlsen, M.
- Duda, J. – Carlsen, M.
- Ding Liren – Carlsen, M.
Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 27, 2026
Overview
Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation (ECO E11, Indian Defenses) is a variation of the Bogo-Indian Defense, reached after 1. d4 Nf6 2. c4 e6 3. Nf3 Bb4+ 4. Bd2 Bxd2+ (4 moves).
In 377,357 rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, White won 51.0%, Black 42.2% and 6.8% were drawn. White's most played move here is 5. Nbxd2, in 65% of those games.
Written from the Lichess opening list and explorer. Know this line well? Write about it.
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How to play against the Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation
5. Qxd2 scores best for White: 55.3%, with White winning 51.6% and Black 41.1% of 130K games. The most played answer, 5. Nbxd2, scores lowest: 53.9% in 245K games. Stockfish's first choice is also 5. Qxd2.
Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: White's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings
Popularity by year
The Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation has lost ground since 2016: 0.013% of Lichess games in 2025, down from 0.018%.
Numbers by year
| Year | Share of games | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0.018% | 6,511 |
| 2017 | 0.018% | 9,863 |
| 2018 | 0.019% | 15,290 |
| 2019 | 0.017% | 21,646 |
| 2020 | 0.016% | 47,242 |
| 2021 | 0.014% | 53,096 |
| 2022 | 0.014% | 53,737 |
| 2023 | 0.014% | 54,291 |
| 2024 | 0.013% | 47,805 |
| 2025 | 0.013% | 45,934 |
| 2026 (Jan–Apr) | 0.014% | 15,054 |
Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling
Cite this page
Caissa Codex. “Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation (E11)”. Lichess data as of 9 Nov 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/bogo-indian-defense-exchange-variation