Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation
The Karpov Variation is 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.Nd2 dxe4 4.Nxe4 Nd7, a solid main line of the Caro-Kann Defense. Read the guide
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Statistics from Lichess
1,744,029 games: White 48.3% / Draw 6.6% / Black 45.2%
| Next move | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| 909,059909K | ||
| 200,033200K | ||
| 172,264172K | ||
| Modern Variation | 126,581127K | |
| 119,334119K | ||
| 52,12352K | ||
| 44,84145K | ||
| 28,05528K |
Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Oct 23, 2026
Engine evaluation
+0.33 White is slightly better
Best play: 5. Bd3 Ngf6 6. Nxf6+ Nxf6 7. c3 Qd5 8. Nf3 Bg4 9. Be2 e6
Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.
By rating
The stronger the players, the worse this line does for Black: Black scores 50% under 1400, 47% at 2200 and up and 44% in master games (wins plus half the draws).
| Players | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1400 | 50K | |
| 1400–1799 | 340K | |
| 1800–2199 | 1.2M | |
| 2200 and up | 309K | |
| Masters, over the board | 6,823 |
Master games
- Carlsen, M. – Morozevich, A.
- Kasparov, G. – Anand, V.
- Duda, J. – Carlsen, M.
- Svidler, P. – Anand, V.
- Kasparov, G. – Karpov, A.
Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 27, 2026
Description
The Karpov Variation is 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.Nd2 dxe4 4.Nxe4 Nd7, a solid main line of the Caro-Kann Defense. It can also be reached with 3.Nc3. It has had many names: the Karpov Variation, the Steinitz Variation, after the first World Champion Wilhelm Steinitz, who played it, the Smyslov Variation and the Modern Variation.
The idea
With 4...Nd7 Black prepares ...Ngf6, so that if White exchanges knights on f6 Black can recapture with the other knight and keep a healthy pawn structure. The short-term aim is to ease Black's position by trading a pair of knights early without weakening the pawns.
Compared with the Classical Variation, 4...Bf5, Black keeps more freedom by delaying the bishop's development and is not forced to put it on g6. In return White has more freedom to take space in the centre and often plays the aggressive 5.Ng5.
Main lines
- 5.Ng5 is White's aggressive try.
- 5.Nf3 Ngf6 6.Ng3 is called the Kasparov Attack on this site.
- 5.Qe2 sets a well-known trap: 5...Ngf6 allows 6.Nd6#, a smothered mate. After 5...Ndf6 Black has a solid position.
The famous last game of the rematch between Deep Blue and Garry Kasparov, in which Kasparov made a known mistake and lost, was played in this line.
The numbers
On Lichess White wins 48.3% of the 1.7 million games and Black 45.2%. Below 1800 Black is slightly ahead, for example 48.5% against 47.7% under 1400. From 1800 up White leads, 48.6% against 43.0% from 2200 up. In 6,823 master games over the board 47.3% were drawn, White won 32.0% and Black 20.7%.
Suggest an improvement or report a mistake
How to play against the Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation
5. Ng5 (Modern Variation) scores best for White: 58.4%, with White winning 55.8% and Black 39.0% of 127K games. The most played answer, 5. Nf3, scores lowest: 50.2% in 909K games. Stockfish's first choice is 5. Bd3.
Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: White's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings
Popularity by year
The Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation has lost ground since 2016: 0.062% of Lichess games in 2025, down from 0.078% (its peak: 0.1% in 2017).
Numbers by year
| Year | Share of games | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0.078% | 27,936 |
| 2017 | 0.1% | 56,111 |
| 2018 | 0.098% | 76,627 |
| 2019 | 0.086% | 107,875 |
| 2020 | 0.075% | 218,722 |
| 2021 | 0.063% | 247,424 |
| 2022 | 0.062% | 234,478 |
| 2023 | 0.063% | 236,862 |
| 2024 | 0.063% | 224,989 |
| 2025 | 0.062% | 213,813 |
| 2026 (Jan–Apr) | 0.062% | 68,173 |
Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling
Variations (3)
Sources
- History and theory: adapted from the Wikipedia article Caro–Kann Defence, version of 20 October 2026, under CC BY-SA 4.0.
- Results: Lichess opening explorer, figures collected from September to November 2026.
Cite this page
Caissa Codex. “Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation (B17)”. Lichess data as of 23 Oct 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/caro-kann-defense-karpov-variation