B17

Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation

The Karpov Variation is 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.Nd2 dxe4 4.Nxe4 Nd7, a solid main line of the Caro-Kann Defense. Read the guide

Chess diagram: Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation after 4…Nd7

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Statistics from Lichess

1,744,029 games: White 48.3% / Draw 6.6% / Black 45.2%

The moves played next. Pick one to see it on the board.
Next moveGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
909,059909K
200,033200K
172,264172K
Modern Variation 126,581127K
119,334119K
52,12352K
44,84145K
28,05528K

Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Oct 23, 2026

Engine evaluation

+0.33 White is slightly better

Best play: 5. Bd3 Ngf6 6. Nxf6+ Nxf6 7. c3 Qd5 8. Nf3 Bg4 9. Be2 e6

Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.

By rating

The stronger the players, the worse this line does for Black: Black scores 50% under 1400, 47% at 2200 and up and 44% in master games (wins plus half the draws).

PlayersGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
Under 1400 50K
1400–1799 340K
1800–2199 1.2M
2200 and up 309K
Masters, over the board 6,823

Master games

Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 27, 2026

Description

The Karpov Variation is 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.Nd2 dxe4 4.Nxe4 Nd7, a solid main line of the Caro-Kann Defense. It can also be reached with 3.Nc3. It has had many names: the Karpov Variation, the Steinitz Variation, after the first World Champion Wilhelm Steinitz, who played it, the Smyslov Variation and the Modern Variation.

The idea

With 4...Nd7 Black prepares ...Ngf6, so that if White exchanges knights on f6 Black can recapture with the other knight and keep a healthy pawn structure. The short-term aim is to ease Black's position by trading a pair of knights early without weakening the pawns.

Compared with the Classical Variation, 4...Bf5, Black keeps more freedom by delaying the bishop's development and is not forced to put it on g6. In return White has more freedom to take space in the centre and often plays the aggressive 5.Ng5.

Main lines

  • 5.Ng5 is White's aggressive try.
  • 5.Nf3 Ngf6 6.Ng3 is called the Kasparov Attack on this site.
  • 5.Qe2 sets a well-known trap: 5...Ngf6 allows 6.Nd6#, a smothered mate. After 5...Ndf6 Black has a solid position.

The famous last game of the rematch between Deep Blue and Garry Kasparov, in which Kasparov made a known mistake and lost, was played in this line.

The numbers

On Lichess White wins 48.3% of the 1.7 million games and Black 45.2%. Below 1800 Black is slightly ahead, for example 48.5% against 47.7% under 1400. From 1800 up White leads, 48.6% against 43.0% from 2200 up. In 6,823 master games over the board 47.3% were drawn, White won 32.0% and Black 20.7%.

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How to play against the Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation

5. Ng5 (Modern Variation) scores best for White: 58.4%, with White winning 55.8% and Black 39.0% of 127K games. The most played answer, 5. Nf3, scores lowest: 50.2% in 909K games. Stockfish's first choice is 5. Bd3.

Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: White's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings

Popularity by year

The Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation has lost ground since 2016: 0.062% of Lichess games in 2025, down from 0.078% (its peak: 0.1% in 2017).

Numbers by year
YearShare of gamesGames
20160.078%27,936
20170.1%56,111
20180.098%76,627
20190.086%107,875
20200.075%218,722
20210.063%247,424
20220.062%234,478
20230.063%236,862
20240.063%224,989
20250.062%213,813
2026 (Jan–Apr)0.062%68,173

Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling

Variations (3)

All 6 named lines that continue from here

Sources

Cite this page

Caissa Codex. “Caro-Kann Defense: Karpov Variation (B17)”. Lichess data as of 23 Oct 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/caro-kann-defense-karpov-variation