Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation
The Exchange Variation of the Grünfeld Defense (1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 d5 4.cxd5 Nxd5) is the most frequent continuation in the Grünfeld (ECO D85–D89). Read the guide
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Statistics from Lichess
2,710,770 games: White 45.7% / Draw 7.4% / Black 46.9%
| Next move | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| 2,168,2902.2M | ||
| 163,994164K | ||
| 138,919139K | ||
| 78,03678K | ||
| 49,80550K | ||
| 46,74647K | ||
| Nadanian Attack | 25,53026K | |
| 16,63517K |
Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Nov 7, 2026
Engine evaluation
+0.25 The position is about equal
Best play: 5. e4 Nxc3 6. bxc3 Bg7 7. Bc4 c5 8. Ne2 Nc6 9. Be3 O-O
Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.
By rating
The stronger the players, the worse this line does for Black: Black scores 51% under 1400, 48% at 2200 and up and 45% in master games (wins plus half the draws).
| Players | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1400 | 42K | |
| 1400–1799 | 502K | |
| 1800–2199 | 1.7M | |
| 2200 and up | 606K | |
| Masters, over the board | 23K |
Master games
- Carlsen, M. – Nepomniachtchi, I.
- Anand, V. – Carlsen, M.
- Carlsen, M. – Ding, L.
- Carlsen, M. – Vachier Lagrave, M.
- Carlsen, M. – Grischuk, A.
Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 26, 2026
Description
The Exchange Variation of the Grünfeld Defense (1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 d5 4.cxd5 Nxd5) is the most frequent continuation in the Grünfeld (ECO D85–D89). After the most common move, 5.e4, which drives Black's knight away, White has an imposing centre, and the main continuation 5...Nxc3 6.bxc3 strengthens it further.
The idea
Black attacks White's centre with ...c5 and ...Bg7, often followed by moves such as ...Qa5, ...cxd4, ...Bg4 and ...Nc6. White often uses the big centre to launch an attack against Black's king.
Main lines
After 5.e4 Nxc3 6.bxc3 Bg7:
- 7.Bc4 with Ne2, the Classical Variation. For decades theory held this to be the correct way to develop, often followed by castling and f4–f5. One subvariation is the Seville Variation, 7.Bc4 c5 8.Ne2 Nc6 9.Be3 O-O 10.O-O Bg4 11.f3 Na5 12.Bxf7+, which Anatoly Karpov played in four games of his 1987 world championship match against Garry Kasparov in Seville. Theory had long considered 12.Bxf7+ a poor move.
- 7.Nf3, the Modern Exchange Variation. An early Nf3 was long thought weak because of pressure from ...Bg4, but in the late 1970s Karpov, Kasparov and others found new ways to play it, often with an early Rb1 to take the rook off the a1–h8 diagonal. A more recent system uses Be3, Qd2 and Rc1 or Rd1 to support the centre. Vladimir Kramnik won game 2 of the 2000 world championship match against Kasparov with a new idea in the main line, and Kasparov, a well-known Grünfeld player, abandoned the Grünfeld for the rest of his career after the match.
Instead of 5.e4, White can play 5.Na4, the Nadanian Attack, first played by Ashot Nadanian in 1996. The knight controls c5, and after 5...Bg7 the planned 6.e4 wins back the tempo, since Black's d5-knight must move a second time. White can also play 5.Bd2 and other moves.
Strengths and weaknesses
Strengths
- White gets a big pawn centre and chances to attack Black's king.
- Black gets clear targets for counterplay against that centre.
Weaknesses
- White's centre can come under heavy pressure from ...c5, ...Bg7, ...Nc6 and ...Bg4.
- Black has to be ready for a direct attack on the king.
Who should play it
The Exchange Variation suits White players who want to take on the Grünfeld directly with a big centre, and Black players who are confident attacking a centre with pieces.
The numbers
On Lichess Black is ahead up to 2200: 49.3% against 46.9% for White under 1400, 50.3% against 44.5% at 1400–1799 and 47.3% against 45.5% at 1800–2199. From 2200 up White leads, 47.1% against 43.4%. In about 22,700 master games White won 28.6%, Black 18.4%, and 53.1% were drawn.
Suggest an improvement or report a mistake
How to play against the Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation
5. Bd2 scores best for White: 54.0%, with White winning 49.8% and Black 41.8% of 164K games. The most played, 5. e4, scores 49.4% in 2.2M games, and 5. Nf3 scores lowest: 48.6%. Stockfish's first choice is 5. e4.
Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: White's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings
Popularity by year
The Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation peaked in 2018 at 0.14% of Lichess games and has slipped since: 0.095% in 2025.
Numbers by year
| Year | Share of games | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0.11% | 38,797 |
| 2017 | 0.13% | 69,809 |
| 2018 | 0.14% | 109,675 |
| 2019 | 0.13% | 159,599 |
| 2020 | 0.12% | 361,735 |
| 2021 | 0.1% | 405,273 |
| 2022 | 0.1% | 384,416 |
| 2023 | 0.097% | 366,120 |
| 2024 | 0.093% | 334,726 |
| 2025 | 0.095% | 328,100 |
| 2026 (Jan–Apr) | 0.097% | 106,216 |
Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling
Variations (3)
All 14 named lines that continue from here
- D86 Classical Variation 7 moves
- D85 Modern Exchange Variation 7 moves
- D85 Nadanian Attack 5 moves
- D86 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Larsen Variation 8 moves
- D85 Modern Exchange Variation 7 moves
- D87 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Seville Variation 12 moves
- D86 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Simagin's Improved Variation 8 moves
- D86 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Simagin's Lesser Variation 8 moves
- D87 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Spassky Variation 8 moves
- D88 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Spassky Variation 11 moves
- D89 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Spassky Variation 13 moves
- D86 Larsen Variation 9 moves
- D85 Pawn Grab Line 10 moves
- D89 Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation, Sokolsky Variation 14 moves
Sources
- History and theory: adapted from the Wikipedia article Grünfeld Defence, version of 22 September 2026, under CC BY-SA 4.0.
- Results: Lichess opening explorer, figures collected from September to November 2026.
Cite this page
Caissa Codex. “Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation (D85)”. Lichess data as of 7 Nov 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/grunfeld-defense-exchange-variation