D85

Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation

The Exchange Variation of the Grünfeld Defense (1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 d5 4.cxd5 Nxd5) is the most frequent continuation in the Grünfeld (ECO D85–D89). Read the guide

Chess diagram: Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation after 4…Nxd5

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Statistics from Lichess

2,710,770 games: White 45.7% / Draw 7.4% / Black 46.9%

The moves played next. Pick one to see it on the board.
Next moveGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
2,168,2902.2M
163,994164K
138,919139K
78,03678K
49,80550K
46,74647K
Nadanian Attack 25,53026K
16,63517K

Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Nov 7, 2026

Engine evaluation

+0.25 The position is about equal

Best play: 5. e4 Nxc3 6. bxc3 Bg7 7. Bc4 c5 8. Ne2 Nc6 9. Be3 O-O

Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.

By rating

The stronger the players, the worse this line does for Black: Black scores 51% under 1400, 48% at 2200 and up and 45% in master games (wins plus half the draws).

PlayersGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
Under 1400 42K
1400–1799 502K
1800–2199 1.7M
2200 and up 606K
Masters, over the board 23K

Master games

Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 26, 2026

Description

The Exchange Variation of the Grünfeld Defense (1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 g6 3.Nc3 d5 4.cxd5 Nxd5) is the most frequent continuation in the Grünfeld (ECO D85–D89). After the most common move, 5.e4, which drives Black's knight away, White has an imposing centre, and the main continuation 5...Nxc3 6.bxc3 strengthens it further.

The idea

Black attacks White's centre with ...c5 and ...Bg7, often followed by moves such as ...Qa5, ...cxd4, ...Bg4 and ...Nc6. White often uses the big centre to launch an attack against Black's king.

Main lines

After 5.e4 Nxc3 6.bxc3 Bg7:

  • 7.Bc4 with Ne2, the Classical Variation. For decades theory held this to be the correct way to develop, often followed by castling and f4–f5. One subvariation is the Seville Variation, 7.Bc4 c5 8.Ne2 Nc6 9.Be3 O-O 10.O-O Bg4 11.f3 Na5 12.Bxf7+, which Anatoly Karpov played in four games of his 1987 world championship match against Garry Kasparov in Seville. Theory had long considered 12.Bxf7+ a poor move.
  • 7.Nf3, the Modern Exchange Variation. An early Nf3 was long thought weak because of pressure from ...Bg4, but in the late 1970s Karpov, Kasparov and others found new ways to play it, often with an early Rb1 to take the rook off the a1–h8 diagonal. A more recent system uses Be3, Qd2 and Rc1 or Rd1 to support the centre. Vladimir Kramnik won game 2 of the 2000 world championship match against Kasparov with a new idea in the main line, and Kasparov, a well-known Grünfeld player, abandoned the Grünfeld for the rest of his career after the match.

Instead of 5.e4, White can play 5.Na4, the Nadanian Attack, first played by Ashot Nadanian in 1996. The knight controls c5, and after 5...Bg7 the planned 6.e4 wins back the tempo, since Black's d5-knight must move a second time. White can also play 5.Bd2 and other moves.

Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths

  • White gets a big pawn centre and chances to attack Black's king.
  • Black gets clear targets for counterplay against that centre.

Weaknesses

  • White's centre can come under heavy pressure from ...c5, ...Bg7, ...Nc6 and ...Bg4.
  • Black has to be ready for a direct attack on the king.

Who should play it

The Exchange Variation suits White players who want to take on the Grünfeld directly with a big centre, and Black players who are confident attacking a centre with pieces.

The numbers

On Lichess Black is ahead up to 2200: 49.3% against 46.9% for White under 1400, 50.3% against 44.5% at 1400–1799 and 47.3% against 45.5% at 1800–2199. From 2200 up White leads, 47.1% against 43.4%. In about 22,700 master games White won 28.6%, Black 18.4%, and 53.1% were drawn.

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How to play against the Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation

5. Bd2 scores best for White: 54.0%, with White winning 49.8% and Black 41.8% of 164K games. The most played, 5. e4, scores 49.4% in 2.2M games, and 5. Nf3 scores lowest: 48.6%. Stockfish's first choice is 5. e4.

Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: White's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings

Popularity by year

The Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation peaked in 2018 at 0.14% of Lichess games and has slipped since: 0.095% in 2025.

Numbers by year
YearShare of gamesGames
20160.11%38,797
20170.13%69,809
20180.14%109,675
20190.13%159,599
20200.12%361,735
20210.1%405,273
20220.1%384,416
20230.097%366,120
20240.093%334,726
20250.095%328,100
2026 (Jan–Apr)0.097%106,216

Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling

Variations (3)

All 14 named lines that continue from here

Sources

Cite this page

Caissa Codex. “Grünfeld Defense: Exchange Variation (D85)”. Lichess data as of 7 Nov 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/grunfeld-defense-exchange-variation