Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation
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Statistics from Lichess
4,703,886 games: White 46.9% / Draw 4.9% / Black 48.2%
| Next move | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| Normal System | 2,383,0312.4M | |
| Venice System | 692,475692K | |
| 406,882407K | ||
| Yerevan System | 349,834350K | |
| Maróczy Bind | 256,403256K | |
| 185,114185K | ||
| Réti System | 89,78490K | |
| Quiet System | 79,61980K |
Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Nov 8, 2026
Engine evaluation
+0.61 White is slightly better
Best play: 3. c4 Nc6 4. d4 cxd4 5. Nxd4 e5 6. Nf5 Nf6 7. Nc3 d5
Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.
By rating
Rating changes little here: Black scores 50% both under 1400 and at 2200 and up, and 47% in master games (wins plus half the draws).
| Players | Games | White / Draw / BlackW / D / B |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1400 | 818K | |
| 1400–1799 | 2.6M | |
| 1800–2199 | 2.7M | |
| 2200 and up | 541K | |
| Masters, over the board | 4,942 |
Master games
- So, W. – Carlsen, M.
- Caruana, F. – Artemiev, V.
- Yu Yangyi – Carlsen, M.
- Anand, V. – Morozevich, A.
- Karjakin, S. – Svidler, P.
Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 26, 2026
Overview
Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation (ECO B28, Semi-Open Games) is a variation of the Sicilian Defense, reached after 1. e4 c5 2. Nf3 a6 (2 moves).
In 4,703,886 rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, White won 46.9%, Black 48.2% and 4.9% were drawn. White's most played move here is 3. d4, in 51% of those games.
It branches into 9 named variations; the most played are Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Normal System and Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation, Venice System. In all, 19 named lines continue from it.
Written from the Lichess opening list and explorer. Know this line well? Write about it.
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How to play against the Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation
3. c4 (Maróczy Bind) scores best for White: 53.9%, with White winning 50.6% and Black 42.9% of 256K games. The most played, 3. d4, scores 48.2% in 2.4M games, and 3. Bc4 scores lowest: 46.3%. Stockfish's first choice is also 3. c4.
Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: White's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings
Popularity by year
The Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation has stayed between 0.17% and 0.2% of Lichess games a year since 2016 (0.19% in 2025).
Numbers by year
| Year | Share of games | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 0.2% | 72,017 |
| 2017 | 0.2% | 112,738 |
| 2018 | 0.2% | 160,748 |
| 2019 | 0.19% | 239,043 |
| 2020 | 0.19% | 542,611 |
| 2021 | 0.18% | 693,743 |
| 2022 | 0.18% | 666,588 |
| 2023 | 0.17% | 652,414 |
| 2024 | 0.18% | 629,847 |
| 2025 | 0.19% | 643,948 |
| 2026 (Jan–Apr) | 0.19% | 208,964 |
Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling
Variations (9)
All 19 named lines that continue from here
- B28 Aronin System 3 moves
- B28 Kieseritzky System 3 moves
- B28 Maróczy Bind 3 moves
- B28 Normal System 3 moves
- B28 Quiet System 3 moves
- B28 Réti System 3 moves
- B28 Venice System 3 moves
- B28 Wing Gambit 3 moves
- B28 Yerevan System 3 moves
- B28 Paulsen Line 3 moves
- B28 Robatsch Line 3 moves
- B28 Cortlever Gambit 4 moves
- B28 Smith-Morra Line 4 moves
- B28 Taimanov Line 4 moves
- B28 Zagorovsky Line 4 moves
- B28 Barcza Line 3 moves
- B28 Gambit Line 4 moves
- B28 Ljubojevic Line 3 moves
- B28 Steiner Line 3 moves
Cite this page
Caissa Codex. “Sicilian Defense: O'Kelly Variation (B28)”. Lichess data as of 8 Nov 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/sicilian-defense-okelly-variation