B12

Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation

In the Advance Variation of the Caro-Kann Defense (1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.e5) White gains space at once. Read the guide

Chess diagram: Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation after 3. e5

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Statistics from Lichess

24,262,483 games: White 47.3% / Draw 4.8% / Black 47.9%

The moves played next. Pick one to see it on the board.
Next moveGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
16,489,56916.5M
Botvinnik-Carls Defense 5,782,8215.8M
1,113,8951.1M
220,151220K
167,430167K
131,441131K
75,80776K
59,31859K

Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Nov 5, 2026

Engine evaluation

+0.36 White is slightly better

Best play: 3... Bf5 4. Be2 e6 5. Nf3 Ne7 6. c3 Ng6 7. O-O f6 8. exf6

Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.

By rating

Rating changes little here: White scores 51% under 1400, 52% at 2200 and up and 56% in master games (wins plus half the draws).

PlayersGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
Under 1400 7.7M
1400–1799 16.5M
1800–2199 13M
2200 and up 2.3M
Masters, over the board 33K

Master games

Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 26, 2026

Description

In the Advance Variation of the Caro-Kann Defense (1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.e5) White gains space at once. Unlike in the French Defense, Black's light-squared bishop is not shut in: the usual reply is 3...Bf5, developing it outside the pawn chain.

Origins

The line goes back to the defence's early days: Marcus Kann won a 24-move game against Jacques Mieses at the German Chess Congress in Hamburg in 1885 that began 1.e4 c6 2.d4 d5 3.e5 Bf5. For many years the Advance was nevertheless regarded as inferior for White, mainly because of the strategic defeat Aron Nimzowitsch suffered with it against José Raúl Capablanca at New York 1927. Aggressive new ideas revived it, and in the 21st century it has become the most popular line against the Caro-Kann.

The idea

White uses the space advantage either for an early pawn storm on the kingside with g4 or h4, or for quiet development with Nf3 and Be2, which Black meets with ...e6 and ...c5.

Main lines

  • 3...Bf5, the main line:
  • 3...c5, the Botvinnik-Carls Defense, also called the Arkell–Khenkin Variation after the work of Keith Arkell and Igor Khenkin. It is a sharp line that avoids the theory of 3...Bf5. Mikhail Botvinnik used it in his 1961 world championship match against Mikhail Tal, with two draws and a loss. White can take with 4.dxc5, which weakens the central bind, or play 4.Nf3, usually met by 4...cxd4.

Strengths and weaknesses

Strengths

  • An immediate space advantage.
  • White can choose between sharp attacking lines and a calm positional set-up.

Weaknesses

  • Black's light-squared bishop develops freely, so the usual French-style problem piece is missing.
  • The pawn chain gives Black clear targets for ...c5.

Who should play it

The Advance suits White players who want space and the initiative against the Caro-Kann, from aggressive pawn storms to quiet positional play.

The numbers

On Lichess the results are almost level: White 47.3%, Black 47.9%. Under 1400 White leads 49.5% against 46.9%; at 1400–1799 Black leads 48.8% against 47.1%, and at 1800–2199 47.8% against 47.3%. From 2200 up White is ahead again, 49.2% against 44.2%. In about 33,400 master games White won 34.6%, Black 22.3%, and 43.1% were drawn.

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How to play against the Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation

3…c5 (Botvinnik-Carls Defense) scores best for Black: 52.6%, with Black winning 50.2% and White 45.0% of 5.8M games. The most played answer, 3…Bf5, scores lowest: 49.9% in 16.5M games. Stockfish's first choice is 3…Bf5.

Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: Black's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings

Popularity by year

The Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation has gained ground since 2016: 1.1% of Lichess games in 2025, up from 0.67%.

Numbers by year
YearShare of gamesGames
20160.67%238,705
20170.77%422,105
20180.8%630,039
20190.78%972,065
20200.76%2,215,776
20210.86%3,367,845
20220.97%3,640,760
20231.0%3,791,539
20241.0%3,735,254
20251.1%3,659,585
2026 (Jan–Apr)1.1%1,171,650

Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling

Variations (8)

All 10 named lines that continue from here

Sources

Cite this page

Caissa Codex. “Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation (B12)”. Lichess data as of 5 Nov 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/caro-kann-defense-advance-variation