C16

French Defense: Winawer Variation, Advance Variation

The Advance Variation of the Winawer is 1.e4 e6 2.d4 d5 3.Nc3 Bb4 4.e5, White's normal answer to the pin on c3. Read the guide

Chess diagram: French Defense: Winawer Variation, Advance Variation after 4. e5

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Statistics from Lichess

2,756,962 games: White 49.1% / Draw 5.1% / Black 45.7%

The moves played next. Pick one to see it on the board.
Next moveGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
C17 2,002,5182M
411,178411K
98,25098K
French Defense: Winawer Variation, Petrosian Variation 77,44277K
71,90972K
31,59932K
13,33113K
9,3759,375

Rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500, from the Lichess opening explorer, updated Oct 31, 2026

Engine evaluation

+0.59 White is slightly better

Best play: 4... c5 5. a3 Ba5 6. b4 cxd4 7. Qg4 Kf8 8. Nb5 Bb6 9. Nf3

Stockfish 19, depth 30, after the line's last move. Scores are in pawns, from White's side.

By rating

The stronger the players, the worse this line does for White: White scores 55% under 1400, 51% at 2200 and up and 58% in master games (wins plus half the draws).

PlayersGamesWhite / Draw / BlackW / D / B
Under 1400 118K
1400–1799 499K
1800–2199 1.6M
2200 and up 760K
Masters, over the board 25K

Master games

Rated blitz, rapid and classical Lichess games by rating band, and over-the-board games of players rated 2200+ from the Lichess masters database, updated Sep 26, 2026

Description

The Advance Variation of the Winawer is 1.e4 e6 2.d4 d5 3.Nc3 Bb4 4.e5, White's normal answer to the pin on c3. White clarifies the centre for the moment, gains space and hopes to show that Black's bishop is misplaced on b4. The Winawer, named after Szymon Winawer and pioneered by Aron Nimzowitsch and Mikhail Botvinnik, is one of the main systems of the French Defense.

The main line

Play usually continues 4...c5 5.a3 Bxc3+ 6.bxc3 Ne7. White now has doubled pawns on the queenside, which are the basis of Black's counterplay, but they also strengthen White's centre and open the b-file. White has more space on the kingside, where Black is weaker than usual after giving up the dark-squared bishop, and together with the bishop pair this gives White attacking chances, though the long-term features of the pawn structure favour Black. Instead of 6...Ne7 Black can play 6...Qc7, 6...Qa5, a recently popular choice, or occasionally 6...Nc6.

White's seventh move

  • 7.Qg4 is the most common move and invites great tactical complications, since Black's bishop no longer defends g7. Black can give up two kingside pawns with 7...Qc7 8.Qxg7 Rg8 9.Qxh7 cxd4 and destroy White's centre in return, the Poisoned Pawn Variation, or play 7...O-O, or the more recent 7...Kf8. Judit Polgár is an expert on 7.Qg4, and Garry Kasparov has also played it.
  • 7.Nf3 and 7.a4 are good positional alternatives. 7.a4 prepares Ba3 and stops Black from attacking c2 with ...Qa5–a4 or ...Bd7–a4; Vasily Smyslov and Bobby Fischer both used it with success.
  • 7.h4 is a more aggressive try, aiming to push the pawn to h6 or to bring the rook into play via h3.

Against the quieter lines Black can often attack with ...O-O-O, usually combined with ...c4 to close the queenside and ...f6 to open the kingside.

Other fifth moves

After 4...c5 5.a3 Black can keep the pin with 5...Ba5, sometimes called the Armenian Variation because players from that country, most notably Rafael Vaganian, have enriched its theory. White usually answers 6.b4 cxb4 and then 7.Qg4 or 7.Nb5. White can also deviate on move 5 with 5.Qg4, 5.dxc5, 5.Nf3 or 5.Bd2. On move 4, 4...Ne7 usually transposes to the main line, while 4...b6 and 4...Qd7 are considered better for White.

The numbers

On Lichess White wins 49.1% of the 2.8 million games and Black 45.7%. Under 1400 White's lead is larger, 53.6% against 42.8%. In 24,645 master games over the board White won 38.8%, Black 23.3%, and 37.9% were drawn.

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How to play against the French Defense: Winawer Variation, Advance Variation

The most played answer, 4…c5, also scores best for Black: 48.8%, with Black winning 46.3% and White 48.6% of 2M games. Of the main answers, 4…Ne7 scores lowest: 48.8%. Stockfish's first choice is also 4…c5.

Main answers: those played in at least 5% of these games. Score: Black's wins plus half the draws, in rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500. How to play against other popular openings

Popularity by year

The French Defense: Winawer Variation, Advance Variation has lost ground since 2016: 0.097% of Lichess games in 2025, down from 0.14% (its peak: 0.17% in 2018).

Numbers by year
YearShare of gamesGames
20160.14%49,612
20170.16%88,464
20180.17%133,935
20190.14%173,822
20200.13%381,901
20210.1%394,434
20220.093%349,228
20230.096%362,858
20240.093%333,019
20250.097%337,194
2026 (Jan–Apr)0.095%104,417

Share of rated Lichess games between players rated 1600 to 2500 (blitz, rapid and classical) that reach this position, by year; 2026: January to April. Which openings are rising and falling

Variations (3)

All 40 named lines that continue from here

Sources

Cite this page

Caissa Codex. “French Defense: Winawer Variation, Advance Variation (C16)”. Lichess data as of 31 Oct 2026. https://chesscodex.org/openings/french-defense-winawer-variation-advance-variation